Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.416335 3.623371 3.844483 4.099627 4.387763 4.705321 5.084945
2025-05-04 3.213243 3.512725 3.851704 4.269503 4.779029 5.392258 6.206343
2025-05-11 3.007895 3.367413 3.793864 4.349762 5.076506 6.029385 7.444085
2025-05-18 2.804832 3.199306 3.685133 4.348881 5.271670 6.583963 8.773362
2025-05-25 2.584025 2.986248 3.495034 4.214610 5.263538 6.857651 9.810162
2025-06-01 2.429960 2.842834 3.378517 4.162179 5.360837 7.317203 11.415187
2025-06-08 2.305766 2.726973 3.286042 4.129781 5.481134 7.852060 13.556639
2025-06-15 2.216093 2.649039 3.236845 4.152619 5.692767 8.624497 17.048070
2025-06-22 2.103766 2.532008 3.121998 4.060698 5.692950 8.988426 19.945637
2025-06-29 1.990242 2.406270 2.985068 3.919180 5.581481 9.083400 22.176302
2025-07-06 1.905137 2.315230 2.892155 3.838660 5.569447 9.409753 26.261369
2025-07-13 1.876226 2.301097 2.910911 3.941990 5.927082 10.816679 42.989403
2025-07-20 1.833522 2.269824 2.909104 4.024977 6.298855 12.653065 105.378587
2025-07-27 1.803152 2.254866 2.931828 4.156519 6.825109 15.639933 NaN
2025-08-03 1.757656 2.214837 2.911931 4.209006 7.195949 18.740380 NaN
2025-08-10 1.702154 2.156648 2.858329 4.191205 7.393002 21.556420 NaN
2025-08-17 1.629241 2.068488 2.749805 4.054207 7.239491 22.152809 NaN
2025-08-24 1.576319 2.008565 2.684632 3.997380 7.300887 24.587288 NaN
2025-08-31 1.531122 1.958414 2.632631 3.961661 7.418023 28.109651 NaN
2025-09-07 1.498079 1.925494 2.607564 3.978742 7.705937 35.180912 NaN
2025-09-14 1.450489 1.867745 2.536455 3.890913 7.637033 37.927226 NaN
2025-09-21 1.398674 1.801564 2.447702 3.758056 7.392608 37.255216 NaN
2025-09-28 1.358796 1.752926 2.387319 3.682169 7.328317 40.040471 NaN